Hard-To-Find-Piccolo
0x78ae9adc4b9669f290524a09006f41a686fa143a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$986.04
Total PnL
$-660.77
Realised
$719.68
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
605 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$599.78
$2.42
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
300 shares @ 66.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$208.40
$10.47
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
300 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$97.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$38.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$22.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$9.15
$-0.25
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 90.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.49
$0.56
- YES
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$4.22
$-0.42
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-135.13
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3000 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-310.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$597.59May 14, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$250.00May 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$2.00May 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$105.50May 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$17.50May 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5$13.98May 11, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5$2.83May 11, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5$0.94May 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$17.36May 10, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$37.08May 10, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.92May 10, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.94May 10, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.94May 10, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$43.56May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.94May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$12.44May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.94May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$50.82May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.94May 9, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.94May 9, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $41.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 22:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".