Earnest-Rawhide
0x79dcb362c47ba851d75cf5873735391b2c81ca77
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$2.5K
Realised
$3.2K
Win rate
67%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?
806 shares @ 39.6¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$290.14
$-28.81
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
1250 shares @ 18.8¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$287.50
$52.50
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
675 shares @ 41.7¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$276.73
$-4.57
- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
265 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$262.50
$13.65
- NO
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
255 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$251.44
$2.42
- NO
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
243 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$239.08
$3.04
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1749 shares @ 14.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$218.69
$-36.34
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
1250 shares @ 25.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$206.21
$-114.56
- NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
259 shares @ 60.1¢·now 60.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.83
$-0.21
- YES
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?
295 shares @ 44.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$132.87
$0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$18.20May 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$93.15May 18, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.80May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$152.77May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$36.26May 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 19?$0.15May 18, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 19?$0.70May 18, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 17?$0.38May 18, 00:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$56.30May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$2.67May 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$70.81May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnglish Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?$12.29May 18, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$14.30May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5$0.00May 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$0.00May 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5$0.00May 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$0.00May 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$0.00May 17, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5$0.00May 17, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $35.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".