Lavish-Transom
0x7a555d69dff70d7a3b5c6fa3b0bd153a28abc349
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.43
Total PnL
$-6.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.73
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.09
$0.00
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.33
$-0.12
- YES
Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
12 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.15Apr 7, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?$3.48Apr 7, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$8.86Apr 7, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$9.14Apr 7, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$9.96Apr 7, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.14Apr 7, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$10.72Apr 7, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$15.38Apr 7, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$95.31Apr 7, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$9.40Apr 3, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$66.43Apr 1, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill France strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Turkey strike Iran by March 31?$9.15Apr 1, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oman strike Iran by March 31?$26.06Apr 1, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 1, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$16.48Apr 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway join the Board of Peace?$11.05Apr 1, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMNipah virus in US by March 31?$20.41Apr 1, 08:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $18.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".