0x7a6c46965b59f485ffe1fab6b1f359b2aadf5048
0x7a6c46965b59f485ffe1fab6b1f359b2aadf5048
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$25.06
Realised
$9.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
1849 shares @ 89.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$90.74
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
1462 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$127.22
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1400 shares @ 88.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$85.64
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1149 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$5.75
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
932 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$900.17
$12.04
- NO
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
626 shares @ 79.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$624.87
$124.87
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1231 shares @ 60.3¢·now 31.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$385.84
$-356.74
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
330 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 27, 2026$329.63
$32.63
- NO
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
302 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$240.01
$-1.51
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
469 shares @ 64.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$194.53
$-105.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$242.97May 16, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$242.98May 16, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.3KMay 11, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.3KMay 11, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$888.12May 11, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$892.54May 11, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$997.56May 10, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$124.39May 10, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.1KMay 9, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$0.00May 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$441.38May 8, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$0.00May 8, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$441.45May 8, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$312.72May 7, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$312.74May 7, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$350.42Apr 27, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$353.95Apr 27, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$281.03Apr 1, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$0.00Apr 1, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$281.16Apr 1, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $453.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".