Hoarse-Volatility
0x7b7f0e1a3c5e091acd0ddaaead1201f106573f4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$568.67
Total PnL
$-844.71
Realised
$-77.61
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
377 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$213.17
$13.17
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
466 shares @ 58.2¢·now 41.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$194.99
$-76.41
- YES
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
842 shares @ 17.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$63.60
$-81.58
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
500 shares @ 12.6¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.00
$-20.84
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
325 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.43
$-3.56
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
80 shares @ 12.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$14.00
$4.40
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.48
$-12.48
- NO
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
1325 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-308.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
926 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-123.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$128.59May 17, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$136.01May 17, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$210.53May 17, 13:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$36.34May 16, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$200.50May 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$101.32May 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$21.00May 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 16, 11:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$6.05May 13, 22:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?$0.65May 12, 11:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $61.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".