Celebrated-Doubt
0x7c1d550e50b0232d3bf14efb87e972af0ce3eb6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$150.74
Total PnL
$-21.07
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
54 shares @ 53.1¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$40.06
$11.32
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
37 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.04
$5.04
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
37 shares @ 81.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$30.40
$0.40
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
21 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.72
$0.72
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.92
$1.92
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$3.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
14 shares @ 35.3¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.97
$-2.03
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
11 shares @ 17.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$2.38May 15, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$1.03May 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$3.05May 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?$2.02May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?$2.08May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$1.04May 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00May 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$5.16May 13, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$5.15May 8, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$5.05May 7, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$5.04May 6, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00May 4, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$10.00May 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00May 4, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$10.00May 3, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.00May 3, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.01May 2, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$15.29May 2, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".