Gregarious-Return
0x7c30ee60b7f53f80211ca65df99d48cce53b7673
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$46.0K
Total PnL
$-19.4K
Realised
$-377.71
Win rate
70%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
14364 shares @ 73.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$11.0K
$380.53
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
11600 shares @ 84.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.5K
$670.57
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
9000 shares @ 90.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.4K
$271.50
- YES
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
3637 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$506.84
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
2428 shares @ 94.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$87.63
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
2505 shares @ 74.7¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$81.54
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1995 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$148.73
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1494 shares @ 90.2¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.4K
$71.43
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
800 shares @ 61.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$764.00
$276.00
- YES
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
630 shares @ 84.7¢·now 93.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$589.68
$55.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.96May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.96May 17, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.98May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.96May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)$140.80May 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)$32.33May 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)$99.03May 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)$36.92May 15, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?$1.92May 15, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$398.64May 15, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$7.88May 15, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$180.95May 15, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$702.20May 15, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$16.00May 15, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.95May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$20.52May 14, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$8.73May 14, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$5.55May 14, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$10.59May 14, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$18.92May 14, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $147.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".