Complicated-Centurion
0x7c32b51526046cd18dfac5b51f51a77e84485a0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$-147.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1500 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$22.50
- NO
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
1107 shares @ 82.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$153.43
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
400 shares @ 93.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$394.60
$19.40
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
280 shares @ 76.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$163.86
$-49.55
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 37.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$107.50
$-77.50
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1000 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.50
$-145.50
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
116 shares @ 63.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$26.64
$-46.33
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
4000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
3000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
1000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-850.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$319.85May 18, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.0KMay 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$200.38May 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$100.17May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?$818.45May 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$20.89Apr 18, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.0KApr 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$891.61Apr 12, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$18.00Apr 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$18.00Apr 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$750.00Apr 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$43.80Apr 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$819.79Apr 10, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$918.92Apr 10, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$770.00Apr 10, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?$1.6KApr 10, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$9.0KApr 10, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.1KFeb 25, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Penge win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?$40.00Feb 24, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$500.00Feb 24, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $637.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".