Identical-Siege
0x7c8e23ff4d4d0022c86dd3e13bb7e93b2a2fdd59
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$11.2K
Total PnL
$114.39
Realised
$-57.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6791 shares @ 73.6¢·now 69.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.7K
$-253.34
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?
2669 shares @ 74.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.2K
$201.77
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
3510 shares @ 57.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.2K
$193.93
- NO
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
2985 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$29.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.3KMay 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$195.34May 13, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?$2.0KMay 12, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$4.0KMay 10, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$1.1KMay 7, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$1.3KMay 7, 14:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$16.53May 7, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$4.0KMay 6, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$4.9KMay 6, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$203.92May 6, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$5.1KMay 6, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$5.0KMay 6, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$5.6KMay 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?$27.94May 4, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$5.0KMay 3, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.0KMay 3, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$74.63May 1, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.3KMay 1, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?$103.57Apr 30, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$103.78Apr 30, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".