Sophisticated-Cot
0x7c9dd9dee7d03901d4aad124fee7d225ad54ada7
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$715.35
Total PnL
$-380.80
Realised
$401.78
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
EU dissolves before 2027?
4035 shares @ 4.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$142.84
$-46.86
- YES
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?
1220 shares @ 18.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$121.99
$-106.58
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
1096 shares @ 15.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.12
$-55.77
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 26.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$77.50
$-52.50
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
625 shares @ 15.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.38
$-38.60
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
647 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.28
$-5.16
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
300 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.35
$-13.65
- YES
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?
1682 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$27.75
$-31.45
- YES
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
149 shares @ 10.7¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.82
$10.92
- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$12.45May 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$1.00May 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$6.40May 17, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$1.28May 17, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$2.48May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.28May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.28May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.27May 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$7.01May 16, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$3.00May 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$2.06May 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$0.21May 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$0.25May 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$0.03May 16, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".