Common-Means
0x7d66502380f4a7dc5bd052b7379bfb3fd030ecf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$677.45
Total PnL
$-54.57
Realised
$-33.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
114 shares @ 69.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.69
$16.69
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
78 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$73.50
$8.50
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
88 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$73.06
$3.06
- YES
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
124 shares @ 48.5¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.56
$10.56
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
62 shares @ 83.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$57.26
$5.83
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
74 shares @ 67.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.78
$-2.22
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
51 shares @ 83.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.80
$3.80
- NO
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.45
$-4.55
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
52 shares @ 67.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.14
$9.14
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
70 shares @ 65.4¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.62
$-2.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$26.06May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$18.17May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$6.87May 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$40.51May 17, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$30.75May 17, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.48May 16, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$2.08May 16, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$63.25May 16, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$25.00May 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$52.57May 15, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$12.15May 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$15.13May 15, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$16.67May 15, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$13.51May 15, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$14.71May 15, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$20.44May 14, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.00May 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.06May 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.10May 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.13May 14, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $41.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".