Constant-Optimization
0x7db8cfe928918e6f7f80a31d98757d97e743ed19
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$132.47
Total PnL
$-311.38
Realised
$-52.08
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 69.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.80
$2.20
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
67 shares @ 25.4¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.17
$2.09
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
30 shares @ 29.7¢·now 54.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.20
$7.30
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$14.60
$-0.29
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
11 shares @ 63.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$10.29
$3.19
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.70
$-0.10
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
24 shares @ 36.3¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.43
$-3.14
- YES
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
10 shares @ 36.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$5.00
$1.35
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
45 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.50
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$3.60May 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$5.40May 25, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$3.20May 24, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$1.25May 24, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.99May 24, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00May 24, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.46May 24, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.68May 24, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$4.20May 24, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.50May 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$3.54May 24, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$2.40May 24, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$30.38May 24, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$1.67May 24, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$6.80May 24, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$6.54May 24, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$4.20May 23, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$5.75May 23, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$6.60May 23, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$3.40May 23, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".