Fumbling-Duck
0x7fb88b43368893a1cab43e0d05af8bd70a0acc24
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-822.29
Realised
$31.89
Win rate
82%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
507 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$502.83
$-0.21
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
509 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$501.89
$-1.11
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
509 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$501.78
$-1.26
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
513 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$501.72
$-1.28
- NO
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?
505 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$500.61
$-2.41
- NO
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
355 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$352.33
$-1.06
- NO
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?
276 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$274.81
$0.03
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
234 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$232.88
$-0.12
- NO
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?
233 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$230.97
$-1.05
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
236 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$230.95
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$59.50May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$116.00May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$0.99May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$19.47May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$13.42May 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.97May 18, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$39.03May 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$5.97May 17, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.97May 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$116.14May 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$116.00May 17, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$116.00May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$116.00May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$116.00May 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$116.12May 17, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$116.00May 17, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$57.44May 17, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$25.25May 17, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$11.04May 17, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$79.70May 17, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $47.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 03:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".