Big-Merchant
0x7ff1e03c04cea08bdd98aaec89599c5f04bebd17
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$914.82
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-1.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1269 shares @ 79.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$805.73
$-196.67
- YES
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
1983 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$109.09
$-89.26
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-348.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
824 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
595 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-324.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
578 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-95.87
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
500 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-161.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
436 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
436 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-226.42
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
403 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-151.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$250.77Mar 5, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$230.00Mar 5, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$135.00Mar 5, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$784.85Mar 5, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.0KFeb 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$30.60Feb 16, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$7.80Feb 16, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$43.52Feb 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$0.20Feb 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$4.50Feb 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$25.98Feb 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$11.07Feb 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$1.85Feb 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$15.10Feb 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$4.17Feb 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$31.60Feb 16, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$8.93Feb 16, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$4.83Feb 16, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$14.01Feb 16, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMHawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 162.5$59.82Feb 15, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $118.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".