0x801debcb212ba242baa12b0c6e4abfb59868bf22
0x801debcb212ba242baa12b0c6e4abfb59868bf22
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$8.9K
Total PnL
$63.64
Realised
$182.57
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
893 shares @ 83.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$701.28
$-46.58
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
777 shares @ 88.4¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$675.99
$-11.09
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
610 shares @ 84.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$479.23
$-38.58
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
441 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$381.87
$-2.20
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
350 shares @ 89.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$348.75
$35.82
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
349 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$329.85
$5.06
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
421 shares @ 84.2¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$326.27
$-28.36
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
259 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$251.25
$4.72
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
250 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$238.35
$8.32
- YES
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
212 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 28, 2026$209.95
$17.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$112.47May 18, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$8.21May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$0.60May 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$61.28May 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$61.63May 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Terem Moffi be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00May 18, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$146.11May 18, 03:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deniz Undav be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 16, 21:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$691.76May 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $4.90May 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $18.57May 15, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$0.00May 15, 09:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$149.99May 14, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $47.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".