Sane-Pan
0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$190.87
Realised
$121.61
Win rate
64%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- NO
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
501 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$501.00
$1.00
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
159 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$158.60
$0.74
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 27.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$128.75
$61.25
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 70.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$123.56
$35.86
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
117 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$115.63
$4.07
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
118 shares @ 92.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$115.23
$6.25
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1337 shares @ 3.8¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$88.91
$38.10
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
96 shares @ 62.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.38
$18.73
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
76 shares @ 84.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$76.11
$11.65
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$74.65
$24.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$15.38May 18, 09:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$100.00May 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.26May 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.17May 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.17May 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.17May 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.33May 17, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.57May 17, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.19May 17, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.18May 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.18May 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.19May 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.19May 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$98.29May 17, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$3.41May 17, 08:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?$4.76May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.65May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$6.91May 16, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".