0x8116da4608d32f9f3e52da9ea8a786810b9eb2a8
0x8116da4608d32f9f3e52da9ea8a786810b9eb2a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$43.64
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
264 shares @ 45.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$43.64
$-75.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 37°F or below on April 29?
8700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 51°F or below on April 29?
8700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 29?
8700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on May 2?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on May 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 29?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 29?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on April 29?
1989 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00May 19, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$96.28May 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$123.81May 19, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$59.56May 19, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$52.71May 19, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$29.21May 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.25May 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$4.53May 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$7.00May 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.70May 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$73.48May 19, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 19?$24.01May 19, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 19?$0.00May 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.14May 19, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$46.98May 19, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$5.74May 19, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.13May 19, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$55.71May 19, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$5.07May 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$43.52May 19, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $19.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".