Minor-Tailspin
0x816e5f5646803f2305c75d6c610fed149abd7257
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$-13.4K
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
8000 shares @ 14.1¢·now 56.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$3.4K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12000 shares @ 12.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$-118.19
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 8.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$543.00
$15.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$333.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
11000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$275.00
$54.52
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 53.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.00
$-27.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 27.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$67.51
$-67.66
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 25.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.50
$-34.01
- YES
Will Ben Carson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
20074 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
14808 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.25May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$23.90May 16, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$11.50May 16, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$25.50May 16, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$71.70May 16, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$25.50May 16, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$40.50May 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$50.83May 16, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$6.29May 16, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$51.96May 16, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$24.46May 16, 06:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$10.67May 14, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$14.25May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$55.00May 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$340.30May 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$420.20May 14, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$76.18May 14, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $87.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 23:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".