0x817c4c3f0fbab46c5d549e3f77a29707b42ec2c7
0x817c4c3f0fbab46c5d549e3f77a29707b42ec2c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$956.68
Total PnL
$9.14
Realised
$6.90
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
72 shares @ 13.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$71.56
$61.76
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
78 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.76
$-1.17
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.02
$-1.14
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
240 shares @ 24.7¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$59.65
$0.36
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
162 shares @ 36.9¢·now 36.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$58.94
$-0.89
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
66 shares @ 89.7¢·now 86.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.90
$-2.21
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
93 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$45.81
$-3.24
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
265 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.55
$-1.46
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
182 shares @ 21.3¢·now 23.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.18
$4.40
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
85 shares @ 41.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.98
$2.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.04May 20, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.46May 20, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.10May 20, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.10May 20, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.19May 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.07May 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.96May 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.02May 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.09May 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.19May 20, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.09May 20, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.02May 20, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.02May 20, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$2.94May 20, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$3.08May 20, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.71May 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$4.06May 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$4.06May 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$3.84May 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 20, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".