0x817dab21e5646a7eff0e98d0736e6de26805db06
0x817dab21e5646a7eff0e98d0736e6de26805db06
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$12.37
Total PnL
$-119.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.77
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 21?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 20?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on May 20?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 20?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
23 shares @ 74.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 20?$1.01May 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 20?$1.01May 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on May 20?$1.00May 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?$1.02May 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 21?$2.02May 20, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 21?$4.70May 20, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$1.01May 20, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$5.43May 20, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$1.15May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$1.35May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?$1.85May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4?$2.17May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$2.30May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 5?$2.33May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 4?$2.33May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$2.60May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 5?$3.40May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 4?$5.00May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$5.00May 20, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?$1.01May 3, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".