Firm-Candy
0x8199cb766a3c1999e35c67a0cd7daf9834cf2bdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$56.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
586 shares @ 83.3¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$450.96
$-37.01
- NO
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
538 shares @ 71.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$433.25
$48.61
- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
452 shares @ 83.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$427.97
$51.67
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
138 shares @ 79.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$114.13
$5.50
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
280 shares @ 38.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.80
$-12.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$490.41May 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$44.41Apr 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$37.62Apr 9, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$3.76Apr 9, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$106.40Apr 8, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$16.00Apr 8, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$26.30Apr 2, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$108.63Mar 26, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$80.71Mar 20, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$18.77Mar 20, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$54.56Mar 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$37.78Mar 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$2.57Mar 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$12.86Mar 18, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$350.00Mar 18, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$8.73Mar 18, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$521.03Mar 18, 00:26 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Mar 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.20Mar 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.25Mar 17, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $64.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".