Careful-Hint
0x81c5e5333930586e4d34dc6a68967d07bd166355
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-238.09
Realised
$-0.79
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
427 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$419.04
$8.33
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
213 shares @ 83.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.97
$7.97
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
411 shares @ 97.4¢·now 26.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$107.79
$-292.22
- YES
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
85 shares @ 39.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$71.78
$37.91
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
336 shares @ 10.9¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$61.37
$24.81
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
336 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.00
$3.81
- NO
Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
51 shares @ 92.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.50
$3.89
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
336 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.12
$-5.57
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
336 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.39
$1.04
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
336 shares @ 10.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.09
$-6.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.22May 15, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5$5.60May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$12.52May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$31.65May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?$206.59May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?$222.47May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $9.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".