Warmhearted-Department
0x81eaa31fd55843fac81883177abfbe70a25dab54
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$895.17
Total PnL
$-173.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1028 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$883.26
$-31.34
- YES
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.56
$-7.44
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
209 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran strike eight countries in March?
137 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
55 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
21 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- YES
Will Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?
20 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$917.62May 9, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$900.20May 3, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$401.03May 1, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$118.27May 1, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$200.00Apr 27, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.00Apr 27, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$14.07Apr 23, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$10.00Apr 21, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$100.00Apr 21, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$50.00Apr 21, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.00Apr 21, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$20.00Apr 21, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.53Apr 21, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$15.75Apr 21, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMChatGPT Outage by March 15?$25.17Apr 21, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$1.09Mar 13, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$10.93Mar 13, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike nine or more countries in March?$111.11Mar 13, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $83.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".