Sane-Close
0x826966406df511ae0ce273b55069ec74f48de51b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$173.16
Total PnL
$-2.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$97.34
$-2.66
- NO
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
32 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.52
$-0.48
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$17.90
$0.10
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.60
$-0.40
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
13 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.75
$0.75
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$8.50May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$15.00May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$17.80May 17, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$2.26May 17, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$10.26May 17, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$6.47May 17, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$14.02May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$13.40May 11, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?$13.10May 11, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$70.21May 9, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 8?$0.00May 9, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down on May 8?$0.00May 9, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down on May 8?$0.00May 9, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8?$13.16May 9, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $95 on May 8?$13.12May 9, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$6.12May 9, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$13.36May 8, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?$6.04May 8, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$14.08May 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 8?$4.33May 8, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $12.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".