Hopeful-Bee
0x830b99b1f5754a554feced07281998bbb2930a93
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$449.00
Total PnL
$-153.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$259.50
$4.50
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 66.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$59.50
$-6.50
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
900 shares @ 14.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$54.45
$-74.55
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 29.4¢·now 32.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$32.70
$3.30
- YES
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
250 shares @ 31.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$26.25
$-51.25
- YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
353 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.35
$-2.93
- YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
161 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.25
$-0.48
- NO
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
2120 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$29.40May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$103.85May 18, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$72.92May 18, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$66.90May 18, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$70.00May 18, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$4.94May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$20.80May 18, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$9.77May 18, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$49.23May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$55.00May 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$36.50May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?$7.73May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$12.28May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$31.00May 18, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$171.08May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$40.84May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$35.69May 17, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$54.16May 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$30.00May 17, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$40.00May 17, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $63.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".