Defenseless-Keep
0x832bce13fa76d504c2b747587c274c996b423ae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$15.2K
Total PnL
$-699.33
Realised
$-106.03
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
5000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.4K
$75.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2400 shares @ 80.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$368.00
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2000 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$51.00
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
1147 shares @ 92.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$74.58
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1300 shares @ 54.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$890.49
$180.50
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
1000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$855.00
$15.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 74.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$598.49
$75.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
658 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$542.59
$55.90
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
732 shares @ 58.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$486.86
$55.83
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
500 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$484.23
$39.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$289.49May 18, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$148.77May 17, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$5.47May 17, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$2.95May 17, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$5.04May 17, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.02May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$5.73May 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$3.15May 16, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$2.20May 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$6.30May 16, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$6.30May 16, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$17.01May 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$112.08May 16, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$700.00May 16, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.5KMay 16, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$20.64May 16, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$9.28May 16, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $71.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".