0x8340c794c3456d0f8e5d7c1a6f1b0f592c1aa3dd
0x8340c794c3456d0f8e5d7c1a6f1b0f592c1aa3dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$102.56
Total PnL
$-321.50
Realised
$-20.80
Win rate
33%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
59 shares @ 74.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$59.33
$15.23
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15 shares @ 43.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.15
$3.74
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
11 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-0.33
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.29
$0.43
- NO
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.92
$0.02
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.91
$0.01
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.89
$-0.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 16.6¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.14
$-0.81
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.92
$0.00
- UTAH STATE AGGIES
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats
1340 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.24May 1, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.05May 1, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$29.48May 1, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$174.20May 1, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMSanta Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats$24.81Apr 26, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Turkey strike Iran by March 31?$10.05Apr 26, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?$6.66Apr 26, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$6.20Apr 26, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$6.15Apr 26, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$6.13Apr 26, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMMcNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores$11.44Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMTexas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels$11.90Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMHoward Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines$14.80Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-03-20?$15.81Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMVCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels$21.91Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs$20.74Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$19.35Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$5.66Apr 26, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$5.58Apr 26, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMFC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5$30.00Apr 26, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".