Defenseless-Spat
0x834bce6aa8b40c4915d9a6e4722d140709ee089a
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$651.00
Realised
$1.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1996 shares @ 65.1¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$197.12
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
707 shares @ 88.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$667.77
$41.07
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
541 shares @ 37.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$500.00
$300.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
483 shares @ 41.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$462.34
$262.34
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$377.50
$177.50
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
310 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$292.85
$4.85
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
297 shares @ 92.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$291.23
$16.24
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
220 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$186.74
$-13.26
- NO
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
184 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.44
$2.75
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$37.00May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$18.00May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$95.00May 17, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$21.50May 17, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$199.99May 17, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?$0.47May 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.93May 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$36.48May 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.29May 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$7.86May 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$12.04May 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$27.14May 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$99.18May 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$86.30May 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$41.52May 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$83.71May 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$93.17May 16, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$104.17May 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?$0.45May 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$5.20May 13, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $79.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 05:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".