Mean-Macaroni
0x839b9e4a3d0adc9578f403ff7414329009da7768
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$473.88
Total PnL
$-171.82
Realised
$-73.54
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
1137 shares @ 36.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$392.00
$-18.88
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
78 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.01
$1.01
- NO
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- NATUS VINCERE
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$2.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
4283 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-37.58
- YES
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
411 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-15.70
- HANJIN BRION
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
30 shares @ 73.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Wuthering Waves win Best Mobile Game at the 2025 Game Awards?
11 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$42.25May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$2.02May 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.05May 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$3.03May 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$2.02May 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$10.04May 17, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$20.02May 17, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$42.25May 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$80.00Apr 24, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$3.00Apr 24, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$77.00Apr 24, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage$2.00Mar 30, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$38.00Mar 30, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$60.00Mar 30, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$1.68Mar 15, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$0.61Mar 15, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$1.21Mar 15, 14:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Mar 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$0.04Mar 6, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$2.00Mar 6, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $20.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".