Defensive-Elevator
0x849374a3481a4c8cd717e32558ab2aff2078e006
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
120
Open notional
$148.10
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-4.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?
20150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$120.90
$-80.60
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
820 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.53
$-76.67
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
632 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.96
$-12.96
- YES
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?
159 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.72
$-2.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 4?
50968 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 5?
38000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 7?
27201 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-27.20
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?
26786 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-80.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 15?
18349 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-36.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 9?
18000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?$3.36May 9, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?$215.46May 9, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$220.35May 9, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$93.41Apr 30, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$1.82Apr 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$3.03Apr 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$26.91Apr 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$225.17Apr 30, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$5.64Apr 30, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$2.96Apr 30, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2.49Apr 30, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$170.00Apr 30, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?$145.00Apr 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$0.53Apr 29, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$0.03Apr 29, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$0.08Apr 29, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$19.43Apr 29, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$0.35Apr 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$0.33Apr 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$0.02Apr 29, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $26.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".