CryptoExpires Jun 1, 2026
Creator

Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.4pp

24h Vol

$1.6K

Liquidity

$25.5K

Research loop

Inspect the market

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

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Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

PINNED NO

Reason

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Link
binance.com
Type
Exchange price
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.3pp 7d
1007550250
1¢
May 11, 2026, 10:00 UTCMay 18, 2026, 09:47 UTC
updated 09:47:54 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-18T09-47Z

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • Jun 1, 04:00 UTCScheduled resolution

    Market resolves in 330.2h

    LOW

Price movement

-0.4pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

updated 09:47:54 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

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updated 09:47:54 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

9
Same eventWhat price will Dogecoin hit in May?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance DOGE/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Why this category?

confidence: medium

Category

Crypto

Source

Keyword rule

Matched term

dogecoin

Reason

Question text contains "dogecoin" — matched the Crypto keyword rule.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?"?

As of Mon, 18 May 2026 09:47:54 GMT, YES is priced at 1% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -0.4pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and -0.3pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Jun 1, 2026 (2026-06-01T04:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$1.6K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $200.5K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $25.5K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.4¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket