Improbable-Muffin-Bronchitis
0x84956098a279f4beaf85696f461e60d75241b6e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$16.3K
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$4.7K
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
25143 shares @ 43.8¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.2K
$-3.8K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
15287 shares @ 45.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.5K
$-503.13
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
4948 shares @ 40.4¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$-392.04
- NO
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
1119 shares @ 89.4¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$995.97
$-4.03
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
1 shares @ 83.1¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.49
$-0.53
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 36.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.64
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.81
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.02May 22, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.04May 22, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.07May 22, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.13May 22, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$490.00May 22, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$9.00May 22, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00May 22, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.01May 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.02May 22, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.02May 22, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.07May 22, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.18May 22, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$490.00May 22, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$9.00May 22, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00May 22, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.02May 22, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.02May 22, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.02May 22, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.04May 22, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.13May 22, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $70.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 06:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".