Pale-Birdwatcher
0x84d7b7a1d571534fbad757dfafdf9e604726298f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$489.18
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
65%
71 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
277 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$259.00
$9.69
- NO
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-19?
308 shares @ 71.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$257.18
$38.50
- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
259 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$255.76
$5.83
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
276 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$249.92
$0.88
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?
268 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$247.90
$-1.34
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
898 shares @ 29.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$247.00
$-14.37
- NO
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
294 shares @ 84.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$233.73
$-13.41
- YES
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
1242 shares @ 21.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.45
$-76.71
- FINLAND
World Championships: Finland vs. USA
300 shares @ 63.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$192.00
$3.00
- YES
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
189 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$186.29
$1.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Club Guabirá win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage$0.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage$11.57May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$2.67May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$2.32May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$1.48May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$57.82May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$20.59May 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$0.81May 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$21.75May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$69.05May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$1.35May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$1.35May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$0.11May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$59.20May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Finland vs. USA$73.48May 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Finland vs. USA$115.52May 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.23May 18, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMCD Cobresal vs. CF Universidad de Chile: O/U 2.5$0.00May 18, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $26.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 71 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".