Timely-Ketchup
0x84e11b7e38e9177c811489152ff487af4f1f61d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$314.83
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-109.02
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
725 shares @ 6.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$59.78
$9.78
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2941 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.59
$-4.41
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 57.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.66
$29.66
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
2355 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.02
$-46.78
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
375 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$19.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.25
$13.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?
135 shares @ 14.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.18
$-5.82
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
576 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.80
$-5.93
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
3086 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.80
$-17.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00May 15, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.00May 15, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00May 15, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00May 15, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00May 15, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00May 15, 17:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$17.21May 14, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$17.17May 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$142.83May 14, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$20.17May 14, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$4.95May 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.17May 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$104.69May 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$104.46May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$104.62May 14, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$104.06May 14, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $102.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".