Mountainous-Marriage
0x850eca0e61029183225b3e0b0d067cbaae86abca
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$12.64
Total PnL
$-12.73
Realised
$1.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- TIMBERWOLVES
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.03
$2.03
- YES
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Revolut IPO before 2027?
27 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$0.13
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 12.6¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Canva IPO before 2027?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-1.74
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Athletics$1.03Apr 30, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?$1.82Apr 30, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?$1.03Apr 29, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?$1.02Apr 29, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$1.02Apr 28, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$1.59Apr 28, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMMichigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies$0.01Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan advance to the Final Four?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMTennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 28, 01:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 03:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".