Substantial-Pricing
0x85110fcc35d72debd32d870bc399e3e3c07e7ce7
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$44.36
Total PnL
$-262.79
Realised
$-3.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?
299 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$32.87
$0.00
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?
13 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.56
$0.06
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.93
$-0.06
- NO
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
1087 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
233 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will no qualifying event occur?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- JOAO LUCAS DA SILVA
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Clement Tabur
81 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-29.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$7.37May 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$32.87May 20, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$31.70May 20, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$7.64May 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$11.58May 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$47.86May 20, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?$10.50May 20, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$0.61May 20, 05:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.76May 20, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.57May 20, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.23May 20, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$156.76May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$0.95May 19, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$1.95May 19, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$2.00May 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$12.59May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$12.99May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$97.35May 19, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$100.03May 19, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$2.32May 19, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $68.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".