Frosty-Leaf
0x856f3b361a1ac0a61d6e886b703042a96c91d64d
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$81.67
Realised
$4.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
3590 shares @ 89.6¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.5K
$241.25
- YES
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
1529 shares @ 34.9¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$527.47
$-6.68
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
373 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$348.75
$-5.59
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?
316 shares @ 88.3¢·now 94.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$299.19
$19.98
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
455 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$288.64
$-11.36
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
157 shares @ 89.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$140.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?
60 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$54.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?
52 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.90
$1.83
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$27.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?
23 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.93
$0.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?$1.05May 18, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$354.35May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$1.33May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$27.60May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?$5.27May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?$47.86May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$1.25May 17, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$22.25May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$16.18May 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?$16.06May 17, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$494.19May 17, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?$47.26May 17, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$200.13May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$246.71May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$120.42May 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$40.95May 17, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$98.97May 17, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$100.48May 16, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$100.00May 16, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$100.48May 16, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $71.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".