Thick-Figurine
0x8573fe34ed1b054f6bf6c2126e111d81d62b75ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$16.74
Total PnL
$-13.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$5.65
$-0.35
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$3.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
4 shares @ 70.8¢·now 19.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.83
$-2.17
- YES
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
4 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.00May 17, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.00May 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$6.01May 17, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$3.03May 17, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$3.04May 17, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.16May 17, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.33May 17, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.28May 17, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$8.71May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.16May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.49May 17, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$3.19May 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$2.67May 15, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.05May 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.01May 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 15, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.31May 15, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.21May 15, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.01May 15, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$3.23May 15, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".