Alarmed-Fatigue
0x859115947accec8bdc1dda5c2910cbced8fdc753
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$363.97
Total PnL
$186.90
Realised
$49.46
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
539 shares @ 10.8¢·now 33.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$181.72
$123.57
- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
400 shares @ 22.6¢·now 21.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$87.80
$-2.68
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
749 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.15
$11.23
- YES
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
498 shares @ 1.9¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$15.44
$5.98
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
88 shares @ 9.7¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.87
$-0.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$9.16May 17, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.37May 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.11May 17, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$7.00May 17, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.80May 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.98May 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.42May 17, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?$1.89May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.09May 16, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.98May 16, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.38May 16, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$5.83May 16, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.98May 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.07May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?$62.16May 12, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$11.66May 11, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$30.15May 10, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.13May 10, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$9.69May 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$0.66May 8, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $13.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".