Responsible-Painting
0x85b8b010ac6e24a23625621724a15513c80d6b6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$139.6K
Total PnL
$-73.7K
Realised
$5.6K
Win rate
64%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
38668 shares @ 69.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.4K
$6.7K
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
28732 shares @ 87.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$26.4K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
49071 shares @ 24.8¢·now 38.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$18.7K
$6.5K
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
49522 shares @ 30.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$15.1K
$-214.78
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
35895 shares @ 16.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.1K
$2.3K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
22210 shares @ 52.8¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.1K
$-3.7K
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10674 shares @ 53.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.4K
$591.63
- NO
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
5000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.9K
$480.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
6500 shares @ 27.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.5K
$2.7K
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
23160 shares @ 6.6¢·now 11.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.7K
$1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.61May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.31May 17, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$65.31May 17, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$9.69May 17, 01:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.99May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$2.61May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$5.47May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$8.42May 16, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.84May 16, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$18.48May 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$81.11May 16, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$11.10May 16, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$62.79May 16, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.71May 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.56May 16, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$337.58May 16, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$24.38May 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$13.51May 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$2.1KMay 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$59.80May 16, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $358.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".