Slight-Moth
0x85d575c99b977e9e39543747c859c83b727aaece
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$80.7K
Total PnL
$-268.64
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
25000 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.9K
$425.05
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
10000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.6K
$650.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 86.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.3K
$600.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
5443 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.4K
$100.69
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5020 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.0K
$177.83
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
5000 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.9K
$12.50
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
5900 shares @ 90.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.6K
$-720.99
- NO
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
4249 shares @ 92.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.0K
$89.96
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
3366 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$-16.17
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3500 shares @ 89.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$-114.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$14.67May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$2.4KMay 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$2.2KMay 18, 04:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.81May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$900.36May 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.8KMay 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$95.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$16.93May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$19.00May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.3KMay 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$4.9KMay 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$9.43May 17, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$16.54May 17, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$5.06May 17, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$466.30May 17, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$2.7KMay 17, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$12.0KMay 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$43.06May 16, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.46May 16, 06:02 UTC
- REWARD$1.41May 16, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".