Rough-Bait
0x86043ba0b5d4cd3e11289e4a40bb403ab16dcb8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$173.83
Total PnL
$-343.26
Realised
$-13.27
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
180 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.69
$3.69
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
174 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
223 shares @ 11.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.33
$0.34
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
198 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
191 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.95
$-1.05
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
176 shares @ 6.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.56
$2.56
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.63
$-8.38
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
173 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.91
$-0.09
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMPooh Shiesty charged by May 31?$1.09May 16, 23:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$40.00May 10, 03:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$25.20May 10, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$47.54May 8, 06:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$47.00May 7, 21:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.30May 5, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$10.23May 5, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $11.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".