Smoggy-Cover
0x86399b04e99f724993d559ca45b0354212c8fb86
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-848.47
Realised
$19.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2100 shares @ 4.6¢·now 23.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$502.95
$405.83
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$235.00
$135.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3012 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.36
$-197.63
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
2385 shares @ 18.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$202.69
$-238.76
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$200.00
$152.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
2030 shares @ 8.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$131.95
$-49.55
- YES
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
11111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$94.44
$-5.54
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2000 shares @ 7.2¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.00
$-91.98
- YES
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
110 shares @ 31.9¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.32
$-20.83
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.25
$-19.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$39.71May 9, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$106.31May 9, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$98.19May 9, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$79.73May 9, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$73.64May 9, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$24.55May 9, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$26.48May 9, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$28.65May 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$103.96May 9, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$205.57May 9, 02:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $78.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".