Well-Worn-Underwriting
0x866cbc103f12bef8449434decddb1f4308954837
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$107.12
Total PnL
$-62.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
18 shares @ 55.9¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.18
$3.18
- JD GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.47
$3.47
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.46
$2.51
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.98
$1.98
- YES
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$6.33
$1.33
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
6 shares @ 89.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.53
$0.53
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.33
$0.33
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$5.62May 22, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$6.94May 22, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$5.68May 22, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$5.04May 22, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$5.04May 22, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.02May 22, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$5.04May 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$5.04May 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.02May 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In$5.02May 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.03May 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$5.03May 22, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$5.03May 22, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$5.02May 22, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.12May 22, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$5.06May 22, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.04May 22, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$5.02May 22, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$10.00May 21, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.81May 21, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".