Raw-Shawl-Macrofauna
0x867250af03c83ada6bf50333ba915745977962bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$99.64
Total PnL
$2.83
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
37 shares @ 86.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.60
$-0.13
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.47
$0.26
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.87
$0.97
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.68
$0.78
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.41
$0.46
- NO
Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.84
$-0.14
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.64
$0.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 24.2¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.18
$0.14
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.08
$0.12
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?$1.71May 15, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.76May 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.60May 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$0.94May 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.68May 10, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$1.59May 10, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.64May 10, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$4.23May 2, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)$4.32May 2, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$3.96May 1, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$4.05May 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)$2.49May 1, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.51May 1, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$0.00May 1, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.01Apr 29, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.11Apr 29, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.78Apr 27, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$0.05Apr 25, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$0.05Apr 25, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$8.95Apr 25, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".