Grizzled-Takeout
0x86814fb2883afb4ececfc46d4f56a5f3429baa53
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$149.53
Total PnL
$-15.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
173 shares @ 17.4¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.40
$1.30
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
181 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.14
$0.09
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
265 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.08
$-0.13
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
50 shares @ 33.1¢·now 30.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.15
$-1.40
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.06
$-0.06
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
195 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.04
$-0.10
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 9.2¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.96
$-0.16
- YES
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.50
$-2.70
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.20
$-0.40
- NO
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-02?
15 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-12.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.77May 16, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.43May 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.40May 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.40May 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.01May 16, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.80May 16, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.85May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?$4.20May 14, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$50.00May 10, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$31.35May 9, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1.66May 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$14.89May 7, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?$6.00May 5, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$76.00May 5, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?$14.91May 4, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?$0.00May 3, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?$14.91May 3, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLPrintr FDV above $80M one day after launch?$1.03Apr 30, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $28.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".