Sorrowful-Hint
0x86a6bcd9a1d302ef258475cf66e50f8e62e01b3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1400 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$413.00
$-7.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
2800 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$294.00
$14.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
948 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$260.74
$4.74
- UNDER
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5
264 shares @ 75.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$250.80
$52.80
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
1200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$186.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
675 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$185.63
$-3.38
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
1300 shares @ 12.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$175.50
$14.50
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
4470 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-247.51
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
1536 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-90.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Draw at halftime?$243.04May 23, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5$199.49May 23, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Draw at halftime?$132.11May 23, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$106.00May 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?$193.08May 23, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$56.38May 23, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$3.20May 23, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$95.24May 23, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1.72May 23, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$4.80May 23, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$22.67May 23, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$65.00May 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$23.33May 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$35.00May 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$150.00May 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$96.00May 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$8.00May 23, 08:03 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.35May 23, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$280.30May 22, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.47May 22, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $169.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 02:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".