Mature-Upgrade
0x86c11bb80168e0bad9dc571d5f3aa429c3c4cace
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$10.4K
Total PnL
$43.42
Realised
$404.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
3113 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$19.02
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2131 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$-7.35
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
1206 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$0.60
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 59.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$892.50
$7.50
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
943 shares @ 63.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$636.30
$36.30
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
625 shares @ 94.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$616.16
$28.42
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
617 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$609.57
$9.57
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
632 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$590.53
$-9.47
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
500 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$477.50
$77.50
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
400 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$362.00
$26.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.35May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$2.0KMay 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$600.00May 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$1.2KMay 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?$1.0KMay 15, 04:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$617.08May 15, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$410.97May 14, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$547.41May 14, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$327.99May 14, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$6.00May 14, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$5.00May 14, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$80.00May 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.00May 14, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$8.00May 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$7.00May 14, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 14, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $486.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".