0x86d3a5e809b8437f2f4ea2f7902645b673cfcf33
0x86d3a5e809b8437f2f4ea2f7902645b673cfcf33
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.75
Total PnL
$-15.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 20?
17 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.90
$-0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?
15 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.58
$-1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 20?
476 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.24
$-4.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?
30 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.03
$-1.75
- LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Spread: Athletics (-3.5)
18 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.01
$-7.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5$0.20May 20, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury$0.00May 20, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 20?$0.00May 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 20?$5.00May 20, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$2.47May 20, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$3.49May 20, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5$0.18May 20, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies$0.00May 20, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5$0.23May 20, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$0.00May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?$1.88May 20, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals$0.00May 20, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5$0.31May 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5$3.65May 20, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 21?$0.31May 20, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 20?$1.68May 20, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 20?$0.00May 20, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5$0.00May 20, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Athletics (-3.5)$7.42May 20, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLAthletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5$8.14May 20, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".