Villainous-Pug
0x86dd5200572b3eae548d8fd9e807b78468d41af2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$772.96
Total PnL
$176.48
Realised
$235.73
Win rate
75%
181 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
20 shares @ 87.6¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$17.26
$-0.26
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 78.1¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.93
$-0.70
- NO
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
20 shares @ 72.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$14.60
$0.10
- NO
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
20 shares @ 62.5¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$13.20
$0.70
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
17 shares @ 78.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.49
$-0.77
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 92.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.36
$0.56
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?
20 shares @ 68.1¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.30
$-1.32
- NO
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
20 shares @ 61.5¢·now 60.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.14
$-0.16
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$11.91
$-0.10
- NO
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
19 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$11.17
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$8.20May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$5.00May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$7.59May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$7.80May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$8.20May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$1.70May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$8.40May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$6.90May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$3.90May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$8.30May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.81May 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$4.58May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$2.04May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$2.16May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$2.70May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$2.20May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$3.20May 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$6.90May 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$6.80May 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$7.20May 18, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 181 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".